AI Predictions
19 sourced future predictions currently published in the AI category. Every prediction rests on a source, a criterion and a probability.
- By The End Of 2027, A Leading AI Lab Will Announce That It Has Reached At Least 50% Accuracy On The Hardest Tier (Research-level) Of The FrontierMath Benchmark. 2027
- By The End Of 2027, An Independent Enterprise Research Report Will State That At Least 15% Of Large Companies Have Delegated At Least One End-to-end Business Process To An AI Agent, Mostly Without Human Intervention. 2027
- The EU's Compliance Deadline For High-risk AI Systems, Deferred From August 2026 To December 2027, Will Come Into Force On 2 December 2027 Without Being Postponed Again. 2027
- US Data Center Electricity Demand Will Exceed The 60 Gigawatt Threshold By The End Of 2027 (Up From ~31 GW In 2025). 2027
- By The End Of 2027, Global Electricity Consumption Of AI Servers Will Exceed The Total Consumption Of Conventional (Non-AI) Data Center Hardware. 2027
- On 2 August 2027, The EU AI Act Compliance Window For General Purpose AI Models Placed On The Market Before 2 August 2025 Will Close, After Which The European AI Office Is Expected To Exercise Its Enforcement And Penalty Powers Against Non-compliant Legacy Models. 2027
- AGI Precursors Begin To Appear In Pilot Projects As Systems Approaching Human-level Performance In Narrow Domains. 2027
- Multimodal AI Models Process Text, Images, Audio And Video Simultaneously And Enter Mainstream Applications. 2027
- AI-assisted Code Generation Shortens Software Development Time By Up To 40%. 2027
- At Least One Leading AI Coding Agent Will Exceed An 85% Resolution Rate On The SWE-bench Verified Benchmark. 2028
- AGI-like Systems Reach Human Expert Level In Narrow Domains Such As Medicine And Law. 2028
- Common Global Standards For AI Ethics And Governance Are Established. 2028
- AI-assisted Scientists Discover New Materials And Drug Candidates. 2028
- Global Installed Power Demand From AI Data Centers Will Exceed 100 Gigawatts By 2030. 2030
- The Number Of Humanoid Robots Commercially Deployed In Factories And Warehouses Worldwide Will Exceed 100,000 By The End Of 2033. 2033
- Task-specific AI Agents Will Generate At Least A Quarter Of Global Enterprise Application Software Revenue. 2034
- Physical AI (Robotic) Systems Will Dominate The Entire Logistics Sector 2038
- AGI Reaching Human-level Intelligence 2041
- AI-driven Scientific Discovery Will Become The Primary Method For New Material And Drug Development. 2044